State Level Analyses Name Time Series Scenario Differences Alabama Arkansas Arizona California Colorado Connecticut District of Columbia Delaware Florida Georgia Iowa Idaho Illinois Indiana Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Massachusetts Maryland Maine Michigan Minnesota Missouri Mississippi Montana North Carolina North Dakota Nebraska New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico Nevada New York Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Virginia Vermont Washington Wisconsin West Virginia Wyoming Map Plots Showing the First Year in Which the Scenarios Differ by More Than 5% Group Scenario One Scenario Two Map Socioeconomic Scenario Uncertainty rcp45cooler_ssp3 rcp45cooler_ssp5 Socioeconomic Scenario Uncertainty rcp45hotter_ssp3 rcp45hotter_ssp5 Socioeconomic Scenario Uncertainty rcp85cooler_ssp3 rcp85cooler_ssp5 Socioeconomic Scenario Uncertainty rcp85hotter_ssp3 rcp85hotter_ssp5 Emissions Scenario Uncertainty rcp45cooler_ssp3 rcp85cooler_ssp3 Emissions Scenario Uncertainty rcp45hotter_ssp3 rcp85hotter_ssp3 Emissions Scenario Uncertainty rcp45cooler_ssp5 rcp85cooler_ssp5 Emissions Scenario Uncertainty rcp45hotter_ssp5 rcp85hotter_ssp5 Climate Model Uncertainty rcp45cooler_ssp3 rcp45hotter_ssp3 Climate Model Uncertainty rcp45cooler_ssp5 rcp45hotter_ssp5 Climate Model Uncertainty rcp85cooler_ssp3 rcp85hotter_ssp3 Climate Model Uncertainty rcp85cooler_ssp5 rcp85hotter_ssp5