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Betting strategy: Smart money #331

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chrswt opened this issue Oct 28, 2021 · 8 comments · Fixed by #348
Closed

Betting strategy: Smart money #331

chrswt opened this issue Oct 28, 2021 · 8 comments · Fixed by #348
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enhancement New feature or request

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@chrswt
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chrswt commented Oct 28, 2021

Allow a betting strategy that follows the side with the largest individual bet placed

@chrswt chrswt added the enhancement New feature or request label Oct 28, 2021
@Tkd-Alex
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Can you explain better?

@chrswt
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chrswt commented Nov 11, 2021

When a prediction is live, Twitch shows the following information: total amount placed on each side (giving the odds), number of bettors on each side, and the largest bet placed on each side. The largest bet placed on each side can usually give a clue as to where the smart money is betting on because the people with the most channel points have usually watched the channel for the longest amount of time (have the most knowledge) and/or have won the most bets (are good at predictions). This strategy would bet on the side that has the largest individual bet placed.

@Tkd-Alex
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Are you sure that this strategy doesn't already exist? https://github.com/Tkd-Alex/Twitch-Channel-Points-Miner-v2#bet-strategy

@chrswt
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chrswt commented Nov 12, 2021

It's not MOST_VOTED or LEAST_VOTED because that is determined by the majority, not where the largest bet is placed.
It is not PERCENTAGE because that is determined by the odds, not where the largest bet is placed.
It is not SMART because that is determined by the majority, not where the largest bet is placed.

As far as I can tell, this strategy does not already exist. The strategy is using the information provided in the 4th row, the largest bet, and seeing which side the largest bet is placed on.

@Rakambda
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In a more "technical way", what is being mentioned here to is basically to take the outcome which has the max value in the field event.outcomes[].top_predictors[].points of an eventCreated/Updated ws message.

Tkd-Alex added a commit that referenced this issue Nov 17, 2021
@Tkd-Alex
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@chrswt have you the time to test smart-money branch?
https://github.com/Tkd-Alex/Twitch-Channel-Points-Miner-v2/tree/smart-money

@chrswt
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chrswt commented Nov 19, 2021

Let me test it out over the next couple of days, tried today but there were no predictions running

@chrswt
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chrswt commented Nov 19, 2021

@Tkd-Alex As far as I can tell this works perfectly after having tested it the last couple of days, thank you so much! Feel free to merge into the main branch.

Tkd-Alex added a commit that referenced this issue Mar 7, 2022
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3 participants