COVID-forecasts-Canada

Forecast Covid-19 cases in Canada, and particularly in Ontario.

THIS REPO IS A WORK IN PROGRESS. The documentation is not updated regularly.

The code implements the epidemiological model that performs daily forecast of Covid-19 cases in Ontario. In theory, it can also be run on some other Canadian provinces, but some model parameters would probably need to be adjusted.

Directories Structure

• src: source code.
• doc: model documentation
• data: data files (some are imported from the web by a script)
• reports: LaTeX code to generate summary forecasting reports
• fcsts: daily summary forecasting reports (PDF format)

Running scripts

• To run the forecasting model, execute the script src/go.sh
• To generate the summary report from the outputs produced by the forecasting model, type ./compile-prov.sh ON in the reports directory.