Bump some deps

[mischnic]

Fixed:

• Bump Babel, didn't appear to cause any problems
• The new swc helpers added a comment containing =>, so minify the result before we check if a => was emitted in the code
• tsc 5.2 apparently emits namespace instead of module now

Pinned dependencies:

• Pin Vue because the transformer broke with 3.3.0 and custom script preprocessors: Vue 3.3.0 broke custom languages/preprocessors in scripts #9405
• In the tests, we somehow do watcher.getEventsSince(dirThatDoesntExist). @parcel/watcher@>=2.3.0 throws an error here. The dir in question is e.g. parcel/packages/core/integration-tests/test/input/cbong0yqey6

[mischnic]

The problem with the watcher (if it were bumped, this PR just pins it to a working version), is that with the OverlayFS, that input/<hash> dir only exists on the MemoryFS side, not the NodeFS, then MemoryFS#getEventsSince tries to get events for both FSs, but the folder exists in one of them.

One solution would be this

class OverlayFS
  async getEventsSince(
    dir: FilePath,
    snapshot: FilePath,
    opts: WatcherOptions,
  ): Promise<Array<Event>> {
    let writableEvents = this.writable.existsSync(path.dirname(snapshot))
      ? await this.writable.getEventsSince(dir, snapshot, opts)
      : [];
    let readableEvents = this.readable.existsSync(path.dirname(snapshot))
      ? await this.readable.getEventsSince(dir, snapshot, opts)
      : [];
    return [...writableEvents, ...readableEvents];
  }
}